Exclusive MFO poll: Close race in Tobago
A survey conducted by Market Facts and Opinions (MFO) has concluded that Tobagonians polled believe the People's National Movement (PNM) would be the best party to represent their interest after tomorrow's THA elections.
The survey was conducted over a two-week period by MFO from November 26 to December 8, 2012 to assess the Government's mid-term performance.
It was commissioned by the Trinidad Express Newspapers.
The first part, which showed a drop in the approval ratings of Prime Minister Kamla Persad-Bissessar, her Attorney General Anand Ramlogan and her National Security Minister Jack Warner was published in last week's Sunday Express.
In Trinidad, research was conducted door-to-door and in Tobago, interviews were conducted by telephone.
When respondents were asked which party they considered to be the best to represent the interest of Tobagonians, the MFO analysis said, "Trinidadians are relatively split in their opinion with respondents slightly more likely to opine that the PNM would be the best party to lead the THA in the upcoming term."
The MFO noted that there was a clear demographic divide in the support base.
The demographic groups more likely to support the PNM were:
•Between 45-54 years
•Living in North-West and North-East Trinidad
•Of African, Mixed/Other ethnic descent
Those who suggested the TOP was the better leader for the THA were:
•Between 55-64 years
•Of a low socioeconomic background
•Living in central and south Trinidad
•Of East Indian descent
The Tobago sample, MFO said, indicated that one in every two people interviewed chose the PNM as the best representative of the two political parties.
About 30 per cent of people polled declined to state their preference for a political party.
On national issues, Tobagonian respondents had different perspectives than Trinidadian respondents.
For instance, the issue of crime was larger on a Trinidadian's mind as opposed to a Tobagonian (Trinidad 64 per cent vs Tobago 44 per cent) but employment was their second issue (Trinidad eight per cent vs Tobago 18 per cent).