Friday, February 23, 2018

Poll: 47% view Rowley favourably


RALLYing support: People’s National Movement (PNM) leader Dr Keith Rowley greets a participant during Friday’s Joint Trade Union Movement protest march in Port of Spain. —Photo: ANISTO ALVES

Mark Fraser

Opposition Leader Dr Keith Rowley’s favourability now stands at 47 per cent, according to an exclusive poll conducted by Solution by Simulation (SBS) for the Trinidad Express.

The poll was conducted on the fourth anniversary of the People’s Partnership Government which was celebrated with a rally in Chaguanas on Saturday.

SBS interviewed 700 adults via live telephone calls from May 12 to 21. 2014. The margin of error for the overall sample is +/-3.7%.

The poll found that Prime Minister Kamla Persad-Bissessar’s approval rating which stood at 37 per cent on the government’s third anniversary last year has jumped to 48 per cent this year.

Regarding Rowley’s approval rating, the 2014 poll by SBS states that 47 per cent of the population has a favourable view of him, 35 per cent unfavourable and 18 per cent unstated or unsure.

In the 2013 Market Facts and Opinions (MFO) poll also commissioned by the  Trinidad Express, on the third anniversary, 48 per cent of the population had a favourable view of Rowley, 46 per cent unfavourable and 6 per cent said they didn’t care.

Following is Part II of the poll: Port of Spain

Approval Ratings of other Elected Officials

The Leader of the Opposition also benefited from a rise in his net favourability compared to last year’s exclusive Express poll. Forty-seven per cent of the population have a favourable view of him, 35 per cent unfavourable, and 18 per cent  unstated or unsure.  This equates to a net favourability of +12 per cent.  Last year, 48 per cent approved of the job that he was doing, compared to 46 per cent who disapproved, giving him a +2 per cent net approval rating.

A majority of the population did not approve of the job that their Member of Parliament is doing, with only 34 per cent approving, and a net approval rating of -16 per cent.  

Urban areas such as the environs of Port of Spain, Chaguanas and San Fernando, and the East-West corridor, generally have significantly lower levels of approval of their Member of Parliament than persons in rural areas. The Members of Parliament with the highest approval ratings are the party leaders representing Siparia and Diego Martin West. Members of Parliament who ranked among the lowest include Donna Cox, Marlene McDonald, and Collin Partap.

Issues of National Concern

Crime is by far the predominant issue of national concern, with 94.6 per cent of respondents saying that they are concerned, 91 per cent of whom are “very concerned”.  This is consistent with the 95 per cent of participants who described crime as “serious” in last year’s poll, up from 88 per cent two years ago.

The concern for crime is near unanimous across all demographic groups in the country, with women just 2 percentage points about crime than men, in a poll with a 3.7 per cent margin of error.  The concern even extends to Tobago.  Previous Express polls have shown a lower concern for crime in Tobago than in Trinidad.

Corruption is another cause of overwhelming concern, with 88 per cent expressing concern, (80 per cent of them “very concerned”), again consistent with last year’s poll in which a similar percentage perceived corruption as “widespread”.

While between 2011 and present a steadily increasing share of the population regarded our economic situation as either ”good” or “excellent”, peaking at 30 per cent last year, still a majority of the population is “very concerned” about the economic situation today.

Tomorrow: Confidence in public institutions